Here's a tip I was given this morning from a venture capitalist who is "heavily invested" in the blogosphere: Technorati is about to be sold to a large search engine company. The deal should go down in about a week.
Yahoo! just plunked down $1 billion in cash for a stake in Alibaba.com, China's biggest online retailer, to catch up with EBay. Dunno if they're so flush with cash that they're on a buying spree.
I think it's Google. They've been much more blog-centric over the past few years and it would compliment their purchase of Blogger nicely.
My first guess would be Google as well, and I just posted the same. There is a part of me, though, that could see MSN or Yahoo! making the purchase as a sleight of hand to Google.
If it is Google, do you think that MSN or Yahoo! would parry with the purchase of IceRocket/BlogScour or PubSub? Or would Mark Cuban even be willing to sell the former?
Jeremy Wagstaff is reporting that News Corp are about to buy a controlling interest in a search engine - could it be that News Corp are about to buy Technorati?
With Bloglines promising "world-class blog search" by "this summer", Google will have to acquire a large, specialized index to compete. The synergy is perfect. Google like the mojo, Technorati retains loyalty. It's a match made in blogging Heaven.
I tend towards Yahoo as well. They seem to be very agressive at the moment. I am disappointed with some of the technocrati searches however...it doesn't find as much as I thought, especially in other languages.
My guess it's MSN. Ballmer was quoted 2 week ago saying they have $1 or 2B (can't remember exactly) allocated for snatching up companies in FY06.
MSN is moving very agressively in the Blog/RSS arena.
Matt
Posted by: Matt VB at August 12, 2005 11:39 AM
Come on, Cuban would sell icerocket in a New York minute.
Posted by: wag at August 12, 2005 11:45 AM
My bet is News Corp. They have shown an interest in fringe content (acquisition of Intermix) as well as the intent to get into the search market. Murdoch on their last quarter earnings call (wed 8/10) said he wanted to buy a "wonderful search engine." Lets not forget the tagline for the most visited blog... 'A directory of Wonderful Things.' Boing Boing Murdoch
Posted by: Boschetti at August 12, 2005 11:54 AM
hey, i'd sell what's next blog for the right price too. :>)
I have to say it's likely not Yahoo - yep, going to go out on a limb for that one, but they did recently buy blo.gs. I bet on Google.
Technorati needs to sell, though, because it cannot sustain its current growth. With all the recent negative buzz - PubSub and Blogpulse are better, Technorati doesn't work, Technorati tagging doesn't pick up stuff - Technorati needs an influx to help them keep their edge.
Just my .02.
Posted by: Jeremy Pepper at August 12, 2005 12:53 PM
Here is what I said in a comment on BusinessWeek's blog on July 9, 2005:
"I just don't see how Technorati could keep a hold on blog search. What they do is purely technical... and easy to replicate by Google and Yahoo. What's more... the effects of G/Y's entry into blog search would be felt literally overnight. I am not aware of anything in the business model of Technorati that may offer any kind of resistance. May be I don't know something that the venture capital folks backing Technorati know... But, as I see it, if they haven't already arranged the sale of Technorati to ???... it might be too late now."
How would I fill in for the question marks now: IAC... just trying to be different... :)
Posted by: Emil Sotirov at August 12, 2005 1:00 PM
I hope that whoever buys it spends a little cash upgrading the servers. I'd say I can do a successful Technorati search maybe 40% of the time. Most of the time, it's too busy to handle the request.
Is sure hope it's Google, because (as a poster up a few says) Technorati needs an influx of money, technical know-how, and sheer, mind-boggling scale ASAP.
It seems to me that since Google has taken the attitude of creating buzz, creating killer web apps, and buying companies like mad, that Technorati is a good choice for them.
I think they would do an excellent job brining Technorati to the next level.
I seriously hope this is for Yahoo! They've never made a bad move. We know they acquired Bl.gs, we know they're developping they RSS Directory.
I believe MS will be developping their own tool for MSN as they always do
Ask Jeeves already got Bloglines.
I don't think it would be wise for Google. What would they gain from it?
They don't need the pull of the brand (Google is by far a bigger brand). They don't need the algorithm or code (Google can use their expertise, plus what Technorati has done isn't hard to replicate). And these two are probably all Technorati have.
If Google is buying it, they'd be overpaying. It's better for a smaller player, or for a lesser brand. Google? nope.
Technorati is in real trouble. It has already had its clock cleaned by Bloglines. C'mon, guys - a full minute to perform a search and it still misses half the blogs. It's lousy software that could never scale.
Posted by: pb at August 12, 2005 8:29 PM
I am going out on a limb and saying it will be InterActive, who acquired Ask Jeeves. Google's track record has been to acquire relatively unknown companies like Picassa. While, Yahoo has been introducing their own version of Blog Search.
I think its going to be Google. Because, nowdays every one is talking about the Google Sandbox and Google badly needs the real-time search facility of Technorati.
They don't need the pull of the brand (Google is by far a bigger brand). They don't need the algorithm or code (Google can use their expertise, plus what Technorati has done isn't hard to replicate). And these two are probably all Technorati have.
It won't be either Google or Yahoo, nor Microsoft or Interactive. News Ltd is a buyer, so it could be them, but the search engines don't need anything Technorati can offer them. (Altavista is owned by Yahoo, for whoever suggested that one).
Don't believe the hype that Google can't search blogs. Have a look at some of the search engine indexing speed studies - On average Google picks pages up quicker than Technorati does.
I wouldn't buy it for a penny. Google or Yahoo could replicate it in about 3 months and make it 100x better. I doubt anyone has much loyalty to Technorati.
If I were maybe Ask Jeeves, or another second tier player, I would think about it, because the price can't be THAT high.
Posted by: Ted at August 16, 2005 2:48 AM
I noticed a few comments along the lines of "I hope they don't ruin it." Here and elsewhere. I don't care who buys them (at this point this is all just rumor anyway), what I care about is when is someone going to fix it?
Yahoo is the only major search engine other than MSN Search that doesn't have a blog search feature anyone knows about. Well, Google is working on blog search but they have their own intelligence on blogs and how to rank them since they own blogger, buying technorati just doesn't fit in Google's plan. My money is on Yahoo.
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Update - Technorati (being Acquired?) from TechCrunch
Company: Technorati
Previous Post: June 20, 2005
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Sorry
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About BL Ochman
Blogger, social media strategy consultant to Fortune 500 companies, and sought-after corporate speaker B.L. Ochman heads the creative team of whatsnextonline.com. She also publishes the Ethics Crisis blog for SRF Global Translations